Kansas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Watkins a 52% chance of winning the Kansas House 2020 primary. Jake Laturner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Steve Watkins — 52% model odds
  2. Dennis Taylor — 25% model odds
  3. Jake Laturner — 23% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts