Kansas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tracey Mann a 42% chance of winning the Kansas House 2020 primary. Tracey Mann won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tracey Mann — 42% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Clifford — 32% model odds
  3. Michael Soetaert — 20% model odds
  4. Jerry Molstad — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts