Indiana House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave E. Thomasina Marsili a 72% chance of winning the Indiana House 2020 primary. E. Thomasina Marsili won, matching the model's top pick.

1. E. Thomasina Marsili — 72% model odds (won)
2. Ron Drake — 20% model odds
3. Mike Webster — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts