Indiana House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Susan Marie Smith a 17% chance of winning the Indiana House 2020 primary. Susan Marie Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Susan Marie Smith — 17% model odds (won)
  2. Douglas L. Merrill — 17% model odds
  3. J.D. Miniear — 17% model odds
  4. Jon J. Davis — 17% model odds
  5. Martin G. Ramey — 17% model odds
  6. Gerald Walters — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts