Indiana House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Victoria Spartz a 58% chance of winning the Indiana House 2020 primary. Victoria Spartz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Victoria Spartz — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Beth Henderson — 5% model odds
  3. Kent Abernathy — 4% model odds
  4. Mark Small — 4% model odds
  5. Russell H. Stwalley — 4% model odds
  6. Micah Beckwith — 3% model odds
  7. Carl Brizzi — 3% model odds
  8. Kelly Maureen Mitchell — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts