Indiana House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mont Handley a 32% chance of winning the Indiana House 2020 primary. Mark Leyva won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mont Handley — 32% model odds
  2. Mark Leyva — 14% model odds (won)
  3. William F. Powers — 14% model odds
  4. Spencer T. Lemmons — 14% model odds
  5. Dion Bergeron — 14% model odds
  6. Delano M. Scaife — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts