Indiana House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas M., Jr. Mcdermott a 10% chance of winning the Indiana House 2020 primary. Frank J. Mrvan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Thomas M., Jr. Mcdermott — 10% model odds
  2. John Henry Hall — 10% model odds
  3. Frank J. Mrvan — 7% model odds (won)
  4. Jim Harper — 7% model odds
  5. Melissa A. Borom — 7% model odds
  6. Mara Candelaria Reardon — 7% model odds
  7. Sabrina Haake — 7% model odds
  8. Carrie Castro — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts