Illinois Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Casey Chlebek a 27% chance of winning the Illinois Senate 2020 primary. Mark C., Jr. Curran won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Casey Chlebek — 27% model odds
- Mark C., Jr. Curran — 12% model odds (won)
- Peggy Hubbard — 12% model odds
- Robert Marshall — 12% model odds
- Tom Tarter — 12% model odds
- Richard Mayers — 12% model odds
- David F. Black — 12% model odds