Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary Miller a 61% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Mary Miller won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary Miller — 61% model odds (won)
  2. Kerry A. Wolff — 26% model odds
  3. Darren E. Duncan — 7% model odds
  4. Chuck Ellington — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts