Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Oberweis a 58% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Jim Oberweis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Oberweis — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Sue Rezin — 17% model odds
  3. Anthony Catella — 8% model odds
  4. Catalina Lauf — 5% model odds
  5. Ted Gradel — 4% model odds
  6. James T. "Jim" Marter — 4% model odds
  7. Jerry Evans — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts