Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Betsy Dirksen Longdrigan an 81% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Betsy Dirksen Longdrigan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Betsy Dirksen Longdrigan — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Stefanie Smith — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts