Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeanne Ives a 59% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Jeanne Ives won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jeanne Ives — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Gordan Kinzler — 32% model odds
  3. Richard Mayers — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts