Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Fricilone a 25% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Mike Fricilone won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Fricilone — 25% model odds (won)
2. Catherine A. O'Shea — 25% model odds
3. Arthur J. Jones — 25% model odds
4. Richard Mayers — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts