Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel William Lipinski a 38% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Marie Newman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Daniel William Lipinski — 38% model odds
- Rush Darwish — 38% model odds
- Marie Newman — 12% model odds (won)
- Charles M. Hughes — 12% model odds