Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bobby L. Rush a 50% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Bobby L. Rush won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bobby L. Rush — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Robert, Jr. Emmons — 44% model odds
  3. Ameena Nurr Matthews — 4% model odds
  4. Sarah Gad — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts