Idaho House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Russ Fulcher a 90% chance of winning the Idaho House 2020 primary. Russ Fulcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Russ Fulcher — 90% model odds (won)
  2. Nicholas Jones — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts