Idaho House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rudy Soto a 60% chance of winning the Idaho House 2020 primary. Rudy Soto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rudy Soto — 60% model odds (won)
  2. Staniela Nikolova — 40% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts