Iowa Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Theresa Greenfield a 75% chance of winning the Iowa Senate 2020 primary. Theresa Greenfield won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Theresa Greenfield — 75% model odds (won)
2. Michael Franken — 5% model odds
3. Kimberly Graham — 5% model odds
4. Eddie J. Mauro — 5% model odds
5. Cal Woods — 5% model odds
6. Scattered — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts