Iowa House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave J.D. Scholten an 81% chance of winning the Iowa House 2020 primary. J.D. Scholten won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. J.D. Scholten — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts