Iowa House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Young a 33% chance of winning the Iowa House 2020 primary. David Young won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David Young — 33% model odds (won)
2. Bill Schafer — 33% model odds
3. Scattered — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts