Iowa House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mariannette Miller-Meeks a 50% chance of winning the Iowa House 2020 primary. Mariannette Miller-Meeks won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mariannette Miller-Meeks — 50% model odds (won)
2. Bobby Schilling — 15% model odds
3. Rick Phillips — 12% model odds
4. Scattered — 12% model odds
5. Steven Everly — 5% model odds
6. Tim Borchardt — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts