Iowa House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ashley Hinson a 74% chance of winning the Iowa House 2020 primary. Ashley Hinson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ashley Hinson — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas Hansen — 13% model odds
  3. Scattered — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts