Hawaii House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Akana an 11% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2020 primary. Joe Akana won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Akana — 11% model odds (won)
  2. Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro — 11% model odds
  3. David R. Hamman — 11% model odds
  4. Robert K. Nagamine — 11% model odds
  5. Nicholas T. Love — 11% model odds
  6. Steven R. Bond — 11% model odds
  7. Felipe C. San Nicolas — 11% model odds
  8. Karla Gottschalk — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts