Hawaii House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jonathan Hoomanawanui a 25% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2020 primary. Jonathan Hoomanawanui won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jonathan Hoomanawanui — 25% model odds (won)
2. Ron Burrus — 25% model odds
3. Byron U. Mccorriston — 25% model odds
4. John Giuffre — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts