Georgia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Gurtler a 45% chance of winning the Georgia House 2020 primary. Matt Gurtler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Gurtler — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Broun — 9% model odds
  3. Kevin Tanner — 8% model odds
  4. Andrew Clyde — 6% model odds
  5. John K. Wilkinson — 6% model odds
  6. Ethan Underwood — 6% model odds
  7. Kellie Weeks — 6% model odds
  8. Maria Strickland — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts