Georgia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carolyn Bourdeaux a 32% chance of winning the Georgia House 2020 primary. Carolyn Bourdeaux won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carolyn Bourdeaux — 32% model odds (won)
2. Zahra S. Karinshak — 25% model odds
3. Nabilah Aishah Islam — 20% model odds
4. Brenda Lopez Romero — 17% model odds
5. Rashid Malik — 4% model odds
6. John Eaves — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts