Georgia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Karen Handel a 66% chance of winning the Georgia House 2020 primary. Karen Handel won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Karen Handel — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Paulette Smith — 17% model odds
  3. Joe Profit — 5% model odds
  4. Blake Harbin — 5% model odds
  5. Mykel Lynn Barthelemy — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts