Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maria Elvira Salazar a 77% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Maria Elvira Salazar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Maria Elvira Salazar — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Raymond Molina — 12% model odds
  3. Juan Fiol — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts