Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carla Spalding a 50% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Carla Spalding won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carla Spalding — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Kroske — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts