Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Laura Loomer a 67% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Laura Loomer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Laura Loomer — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Christian Acosta — 12% model odds
  3. Michael Vilardi — 5% model odds
  4. Aaron Scanlan — 5% model odds
  5. Elizabeth Felton — 5% model odds
  6. Reba Sherrill — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts