Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Byron Donalds a 58% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Byron Donalds won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Byron Donalds — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Dane Eagle — 9% model odds
  3. Dan Severson — 9% model odds
  4. Darren Aquino — 5% model odds
  5. Casey Askar — 4% model odds
  6. William "Fig" Figlesthaler — 4% model odds
  7. Randy Henderson — 4% model odds
  8. Christy Mclaughlin — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts