Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anna Paulina Luna a 46% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Anna Paulina Luna won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Anna Paulina Luna — 46% model odds (won)
  2. Amanda Makki — 44% model odds
  3. George Buck — 3% model odds
  4. Sheila Griffin — 3% model odds
  5. Sharon Barry Newby — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts