Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher Wright a 57% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. William P. "Bill" Olson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Christopher Wright — 57% model odds
  2. William P. "Bill" Olson — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Jose Castillo — 14% model odds
  4. Sergio E. Ortiz — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts