Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John H. Rutherford a 70% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. John H. Rutherford won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John H. Rutherford — 70% model odds (won)
2. Erick J. Aguilar — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts