Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Judson Sapp a 23% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Kat Cammack won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Judson Sapp — 23% model odds
  2. James St. George — 19% model odds
  3. Kat Cammack — 16% model odds (won)
  4. Todd Chase — 9% model odds
  5. Gavin Rollins — 9% model odds
  6. David Theus — 8% model odds
  7. Ryan D. Chamberlin — 4% model odds
  8. Amy Pope Wells — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts