DC House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick # Hynes a 33% chance of winning the DC House 2020 primary. Ford # Fischer won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Patrick # Hynes — 33% model odds
  2. Ford # Fischer — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts