DC House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor Holmes Norton a 39% chance of winning the DC House 2020 primary. Eleanor Holmes Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eleanor Holmes Norton — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 39% model odds
  3. Natale Lino Stracuzzi — 11% model odds
  4. Scattered — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts