California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Stoddard a 33% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Chris Stoddard won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Stoddard — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Famela Ramos — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Michael Patrick Oristian — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts