California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darrell Issa a 41% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Darrell Issa won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darrell Issa — 41% model odds (won)
  2. Carl Demaio — 20% model odds (won)
  3. Brian W. Jones — 20% model odds
  4. Nathan "Nate" Wilkins — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts