California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jose Cortes a 25% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Jose Cortes won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jose Cortes — 25% model odds (won)
2. Helen L. Horvath — 25% model odds (won)
3. Henry Alan Ota — 25% model odds
4. Lucinda Kwh Jahn — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts