California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ammar Campa-Najjar a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Ammar Campa-Najjar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ammar Campa-Najjar — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Marisa Calderon — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts