California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Steel a 40% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Michelle Steel won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Steel — 40% model odds (won)
  2. Brian Burley — 20% model odds (won)
  3. John Thomas Schuesler — 20% model odds
  4. James Brian Griffin — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts