California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Briscoe a 33% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. John Briscoe won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Briscoe — 33% model odds (won)
2. Amy Phan West — 33% model odds (won)
3. Sou Moua — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts