California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alan Lowenthal a 38% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Alan Lowenthal won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alan Lowenthal — 38% model odds (won)
  2. Peter Mathews — 36% model odds (won)
  3. Jalen Dupree Mcleod — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts