California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Raths a 48% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Greg Raths won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Greg Raths — 48% model odds (won)
2. Don Sedgwick — 10% model odds (won)
3. Peggy Huang — 10% model odds
4. Lisa Sparks — 10% model odds
5. Christopher J. Gonzales — 10% model odds
6. Rhonda Furin — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts