California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nanette Diaz Barragan a 38% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Nanette Diaz Barragan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nanette Diaz Barragan — 38% model odds (won)
  2. Analilia Joya — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Morris F. Griffin — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts