California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe E., Iii Collins a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Joe E., Iii Collins won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe E., Iii Collins — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Omar Navarro — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts