California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rodolfo Cortes Barragan a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Rodolfo Cortes Barragan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Rodolfo Cortes Barragan — 50% model odds (won)
2. C Antonio Delgado — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts