California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lucille Roybal-Allard a 36% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Lucille Roybal-Allard won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lucille Roybal-Allard — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony, Jr. Felix — 36% model odds
  3. David John Sanchez — 29% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts