California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raul Ruiz a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Raul Ruiz won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Raul Ruiz — 50% model odds (won)
2. Gina Chapa — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts